March 15, 2011
The year 2011 will be remembered as one of the Arab revolution whose fates are still hazy and contradictory. But it may be remembered as the year of death of the West.
Nothing that has happened up today in those countries and apparently nothing that's going to happen is minimally influenced by the wishes and interests of what was once called the "free world" and still embodies the best of military and economic power of planet.
Conversely, if you look in particular to Libya - a small country of 6 million inhabitants and an army of tens of thousands of men - it seems that the combined voices of all Western countries count less than zero.
It 's true that the Western world has not spoken in a timely manner and booming and there were many cues, but if you put together the statements that the leaders State have ringed the last month, all, without exception, demanded the immediate resignation of Gaddafi, his surrender and his exile, including Russia. Could vary the seasoning of threats and the peremptory tone, but the request became a refrain in almost every public speech, every statement in every international forum, "Gaddafi go."
After about a month from the explosion of the Libyan crisis and an unknown number of casualties among the rebels and civilians anti-regime, the Colonel is still there, dazed and more menacing than ever and is recovering the country piece by piece. While his voice growing weak and embarrassed, Obama, Sarkozy, Mevedev, Cameron, Napolitano and all the others continue to ask, almost with pity, for him to leave.
face of this excruciating evidence the United States and Europe have so far failed to agree on anything, even engage in struggles or threats parade. There is a military embargo in place against Gheddaffi and his regime, but did not know whether this also applies to the rebels, so no one dares to supply them with weapons even if they all fall, so a bit 'timid, to "recognize." Is at stake a week from "no-fly zone", of which now escapes the real utility, which all continue to ask - including the Arab League - but no one seems able to put into practice. There are American aircraft carriers off the coast of Benghazi, even with troops ready for possible landing in the words of Obama, but that now serve as the basis for a few minor humanitarian operation.
There is a recourse in Europe between Cameron and Sarkozy over who makes the biggest voice, which seems dictated more by domestic and business needs and ultimately behind the long delays and indecision UN NATO. In Italy, Libya's biggest trading partner, foreign policy has become more Giorgio Napolitano with its Supreme Defence Council that not everything the government put together. Only at the end is not clear whether we have more dissatisfied Qaddafi or the rebels. Meanwhile, arriving on our shores thousands of refugees that France rejects the decision of the border and asked us to keep them securely closed Ventimiglia in Italy. And that Europe does not want to see, only to be diligent in indignant protest when Italy refused them at home until a few months ago.
This is the scene of the glorious west front of the Libyan crisis. What will our clerks, our military, our businesses, our "glass palaces" when Muammar Gaddafi will come back to sit on his throne after crushed under the heel that remains of the protest? Can the free and democratic world, after being exposed to threats and words, to tolerate such an outcome and continue to define this? Or can turn around and go back to doing business with Libya and treated as before?
Things have gone too far and perhaps not immediately but the fate of Gaddafi appears marked. Also because that particular balance that has kept him in the saddle for 42 years has been broken and was ruled directly on the legitimacy given to his regime by the international community in need of oil and border co-operation. Hard to believe the threats of the Rais, who wanted to get back at everyone, including the Arab League, except for China. Hard to believe that the first good chance of Cyrenaica rebels do not return to arise and that the tribes hostile to the Colonel did not find the drive necessary to bring it down.
Doubt is once again the role that will have all this in the West and Italy in first place on this front could claim a position of leadership. Because it is true that the U.S. has responsibility commensurate with the role of great power, but it is also true that in the ranking of trade with Libya, Washington is at 69 th place in Rome on 1.
would be tragic and ironic at the same time that the death of the West in the Mediterranean had the same epicenter of his birth, but it seems unlikely.
(from Time)
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